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UmbrellaX markets

Tech

Binary tech markets. The pool—not a market maker—sets the final odds.

Will an open-source model lead the frontier AI index in September?Tech

Open-source25.3%3.88×Closed-source74.7%1.33×

$660.1K poolSep 30Open 927

Will the September reusable orbital launch complete successfully?Tech

Successful73.1%1.36×Unsuccessful26.9%3.67×

$295.7K poolSep 18Open 718

Did the lunar mission launch inside its published window?Tech

Launched57.2%1.73×Did not launch42.8%2.31×

$114.1K poolSep 4Closed 218